Source: weather.com



The axis of the Monsoon trough runs over Gujarat, Maharashtra, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh and southeastwards to east-central Bay of Bengal on Friday (16th July) morning. The Monsoon Trough is likely to gradually shift northward and intensify from Friday onward. Fairly widespread to widespread rain with isolated heavy rain and thunderstorms are likely over northeastern India, north-central India and northern India from Friday.

A cyclonic circulation could form over west Uttar Pradesh on Sunday early morning and may bring fairly widespread to widespread rain with isolated heavy rain and thunderstorms over north-central India and northern India from Sunday. Heavy to very heavy rain is likely over isolated places of Bihar on Saturday and Sunday, over isolated places of Uttar Pradesh and east Rajasthan on Sunday, over isolated places of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana and Delhi on Sunday and Monday, and over isolated places of Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh on Monday and Tuesday.

A cyclonic circulation is also forming over northeastern India and southerly wind from Bay of Bengal brings humidity over northeastern India. Fairly widespread to widespread rain with isolated heavy rain and thunderstorms are expected over northeastern India in this period. Heavy to very heavy rain is likely over isolated places of Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim on Friday and Saturday, over isolated places of Assam and Meghalaya on Saturday and Monday and over isolated places of Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura on Saturday.

The offshore trough persists off Kerala coast to Maharashtra coast and westerly wind for Arabian Sea will bring humidity over Southern India and Western India. Widespread rain with isolated heavy rain and thunderstorms are likely over coastal Maharashtra, Goa and Karnataka, and fairly widespread to widespread with isolated heavy rain and thunderstorms are likely over interior Maharashtra, Telangana and Kerala in this period. Heavy to very heavy rain is likely over isolated places of coastal Maharashtra, Goa and coastal Karnataka in this period and over isolated places of interior Karnataka on Friday and Saturday.

Maximum temperatures are below normal over north-central India and plains of northern India in this period. Maximum temperatures are lower or slightly lower below normal over Andhra Pradesh and adjoining areas in this period. Maximum temperatures are higher than average over Madhya Pradesh and adjoining areas, and the west coast of Western India and Southern India in this period. Minimum temperatures are slightly lower than normal over central India and adjoining areas from Sunday onward. Minimum temperatures are higher than normal over the Western Himalayan Region in this period.